Mitch Rapp Movie Coming, Says Vince Flynn
September 5, 2010
Vince Flynn fans may finally get the author’s work on film if former Warners honcho Lorenzo di Bonaventura has his way. The author told Good Morning Minnesota this week that multiple screenplay drafts have been written and casting could begin in days.
Flynn is a wildly popular author of political thrillers that regularly land on The New York Times’ bestseller list. In just the last three years, two of those books topped the fiction charts and all have been best sellers. That’s a great track record for an author who didn’t take no for an answer and self-published his first book.
CBS Films, trying to break into the see-saw feature film world, optioned Flynn’s novel Consent to Kill three years ago. That may seem like a long time ago, but is only a moment in the chaotic world of film production.
The story traces an Al-Qaeda attempt to detonate a nuclear weapon in Washington. If that sounds like a plot you might have seen on 24, learning that the author served several weeks as a story consultant for the hit Fox show that went off the air this year won’t surprise you. Kiefer Sutherland’s Monday night shoot-’em-up knew a thing or two about suspense.
Mitch Rapp in the Flesh
Mitch Rapp is the hero of many of Flynn’s books, including Consent to Kill. Fans across the Internet have been buzzing about choosing an actor to play Flynn’s counter-terrorist agent. Most sources suggest the casting decision will be between Colin Farrell and Gerard Butler. Sue wrote about casting Mitch Rapp just over two months ago.
Both are great choices. Farrell and Butler are handsome guys who can scruff up to play Mitch Rapp blending into the scenery. My personal vote is for Butler who has amazing eyes and can switch from Guy in Supermarket to Guy with Pistol. Yeah, I know his birth certificate doesn’t say USA, you xenophobes. Neither does Hugh Laurie’s. Anyone believe Dr. House is the guy from Jeeves and Wooster?
The Rapp on Consent To Kill’s Director
When I wrote about Consent to Kill in April, I immediately dropped in an extended YouTube clip of Denzel’s Oscar winning performance in Training Day and gave a shout to Fuqua and Lemkin’s Shooter with Danny Glover and Mark Wahlberg. Yes, I called him Marky Mark. Old habits die hard.
Antoine Fuqua, tabbed for almost a year to direct Consent to Kill, is going to direct his way to an Oscar stage one day. He is that good a director. He won’t get there with CTK although I thought he had a shot with this year’s talent-laden Brooklyn’s Finest.
The Money Man and The Writer
Lorenzo di Bonaventura is the lead producer on this project. That will undoubtedly thrill Flynn fans because he knows how to get action films done (the Transformer series and GI Joe, which he is hereby forgiven for) as well as series (Ludlum and Stephen King are targets of his).
Lorenzo played with whimsy in Stardust, which wasn’t his fault because Neil Gaiman stories are notoriously difficult to film. He also brought Angeline Jolie a reprieve with Salt.
di Bonaventura has snared Jonathan Lemkin to adapt Vince Flynn’s novel. Lemkin wrote The Devil’s Advocate, which featured one of my favorite underrated plot twists, as well as Shooter, which was directed by…yup, Antoine Fuqua.
Expect explosions. Expect plot twists. Expect grittiness that Bourne films lack.
Consent to Kill Looks Like A Go
Vince Flynn once redacted “rendition” and told Good Morning Minnesota last week that he often is given tips. A Twin Cities resident, Presidents Clinton and Bush are supposed readers. Flynn shared some great anecdotes, including Laura Bush telling her husband to stop asking about his sources. He’s also been at the White House four times, which is three times more than I have, and I’ve lived near it for a few decades. He even talks about sharing cigars and drinks with the King of Jordan.
The big news for Rapp fans? I’ll quote Flynn. “We’re getting close [to a Rapp film]. We were on the 1-inch line last February, then we backed up to the 10 yard line and now we’re at the 1 yard line.”
(Translation for non-football fans. It sounds like my Redskins, but yes)
Flynn finished by saying the fifth revision (c’mon, Lemkin!) of the script was due on August 27 and casting could begin after Labor Day.
Who Said That About… Star Trek
May 2, 2010
From our 2006 archive:
Paramount Pictures plans to release a new Star Trek film in fall 2008. J.J. Abrams (Alias, Lost) is slated to direct, write and produce, which gives me some hope that this project won’t suffer the fate of 2002′s Nemesis.
JJ indeed saved the franchise and introduced actors 40 years younger than the ones who played them before. As prequels go, the team stayed close enough to the original to satisfy fans and strayed far enough to open new character dynamics and potential plots. I wrote at the time that Abrams would have to serve two masters in the fan base and the general public, most of whom remembered Trek as something their parents liked. He nailed both audiences with more than $250 million in domestic box office and another $100 or so in foreign films.
But the best news for Paramount? They get to green light a sequel. Trek 12, whatever that might be, is slated for a summer 2012 release.
Who Said That About…Tina Fey?
May 1, 2010
From our archives (yeah, I wrote it. Shut up.)
NBC’s fall schedule: Studio 60 on the Sunset Strip. The premise: a creative team is hired to save a live sketch-comedy show that just happens to resemble NBC’s Saturday Night Live.
Tina Fey, co-head writer for SNL, is working on a similar project starring her and Alec Baldwin, but I give Studio 60 better odds of sticking.
I’ll have you know that half of Studio 60′s 22 episodes were watchable. I’m also a big Aaron Sorkin fanboy, and while I still have a Tinacrush, I was betting on the money of Matthew Perry coming off of Friends and a rotating cast of guest stars.
Oops. Below, Tina Fey receives an award while she and New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg laugh at this prediction.
Bill Murray and Ghostbusters 3 – HSX Today
April 29, 2010
So the good news was Animation Fund III finally delisted after reaching its $100 goal. The bad news that many have pointed out is how long it took to get there.
My options are sparkling. I closed out JACKR, a Jackie Robinson film Robert Redford was supposedly interested in. We all know about Redford and The Natural, but this one never got traction. As a baseball fan, I think it’s a shame. At $1.09 five years after its IPO, just close your position if you have one. Another sports movie it’s time to close out a short position on is Racing Dreams (RCDRM) that had a $3 IPO two days ago and is now at $2. Just pocket your change and move on. Finally, the Scanners remake is still hovering out there for some reason. Shut down that puppy too before David Cronenberg’s head explodes.
If Scanners is your thing, you might be one of those itching to see the Nightmare on Elm Street remake. For the genre, it was genius. For a scary date night, it wasn’t bad. I’m still interested to see what Jackie Earle Haley can do as Freddy. I record Human Target on my DVR just to watch his dark geeky character. HSXers are bullish on the film as befits the demographic. The IPO for the $35 million opening weekend call has more than doubled. That’s good buzz.
I’m not sure who is buzzing about Ghostbusters 3. As you can from Bill Murray’s hilarious turn on David Letterman last month, there is talk about the film, but the star is hardly positioning it as a slam dunk. Nightmare? Kill me off in the first reel? Dunno, but the HSXers sent it up another $2 yesterday. They also popped up another sequel, The Hobbit, Part 2, which will be a terrific film after, you know, The Hobbit is released.
On the other side of the coin, Despicable Me is starting to slide despite a July release and decent word of mouth. At $101, it may be time to close the position if you’re holding big quantities.
Today’s IPOs are some small films and some questionable Olivia Thirlby vehicles. The Trotsky is a moment for Jay Baruchel. In real life, he turns up in amazing movies like Million Dollar Baby, Almost Famous, Tropic Thunder and How to Train Your Dragon. I don’t think audiences are ready for him for him playing a quirky offbeat dude who believes he is the reincarnation of Trotsky. Also out in a week or so is Happiness Runs with a pretty unknown cast except for Andie Macdowell and Rutguer Hauer. It’s a period piece, the trailer is boring and it’s in limited release. I shorted both.
Now for Olivia. She’s attached to Jack and Diane, which must make John Mellencamp happy, but is a film in which she hides from her boyfriend that she is a werewolf. I wish it were a comedy. She’s also attached to The Darkest Hour. This is also a plot not played for laughs that has the pretty actress touring Russia when aliens invade. Sigh. She is a long way from Juno.
I have no idea what to do with either IPO. I know I don’t want to watch either film if they are ever released.
Losers Lives Up To Billing – HSX Today
April 27, 2010
Did The Losers live up to its name or what?
HSX had a $20 million weekend option on the Chris Evans vehicle. Remember when I asked last week if Chris Evans could carry a movie? I actually meant a future film since I thought The Losers had enough going to at least open at $10 million plus, but it not only finished behind two older releases, three others almost caught it. Even with a modest drop next week, this one will go into week three of release nowhere near $20 million, which puts those of whose bought calls out a tiny speck of HSX dough.
My other options are doing much better, thank you. Super Max, based on The Green Arrow, is falling as I thought. Sue and I keep preaching comic fatigue. It’s actually cyclical and very similar to the trend I saw when I bought WWE stock for real. After spending a long time with the data and seeing a roughly 6 year cycle, I jumped in it a decent low and closed the position on its way up. In real life, I’m a buy and hold guy, but I flipped wrestling like a day trader. And boy, do I want to do the same on HSX with most comics-based stocks. Meanwhile, Super Max is trading in the mid $7 range and has plenty to fall if you have some spare cash laying around.
Both Contagion and Avatar 2 dipped a bit today, but the market gyrations don’t seem worrisome. James Cameron is talking openly about an Avatar sequel. Contagion has a cast looking much like Oceans 14 might: Paltrow, Winslet, Damon, Law, all directed by Stephen Sondbergh. The release date is pushed and some may be skittish, but Contagion is still blockbuster material. Dustin Hoffman, Morgan Freeman and Kevin Spacey pulled off the same trick with a hit in 1995′s Outbreak. Remember about those cycles?
Everyone’s favorite cyclical monster, Godzilla, continues to shake off visions of Matthew Broderick and return to his cheesy wonder. Still two years from a release date, the HSX stock has popped 24% in 2 days.
Today’s IPOs are a bit blah, but one worth your time might be Clive Owen in Intruders. I’m not even sure the Latin-flavored thriller will do especially well or even if Owens’ career may be temporarily derailed after appearing in David Schwimmer’s directorial debut this year. But with little else for traders to do after a Sunday off, Intruders might see a small pop before falling. At $25 and with Universal onboard, there are worst gambles to take.
You could’ve called The Losers at $20 million in its opening weekend, for example, or you may be holding tickets to David Schwimmer directing a film about a little girl and an online sexual predator. That’s David Schwimmer from this Friends clip.
Robin Hood in France – HSX Today
April 21, 2010
Fergie helped me continue a strong month when her IPO popped up nearly 2% on opening day. Few performers are double or triple threats live, in recording studios and on film. Jamie Foxx and Will Smith pull it off. Some chick named Streisand thinks she can, but hasn’t been able to do so on film in a couple of decades. Right now, Foxx and Hugh Jackman may be the most relevant, bankable stars who can sing and act.
The live-action Marmaduke will be Fergie’s first vehicle since going IPO on HSX. Marmaduke, which reminds me of a latter day Harry and the Hendersons, opens during the brutal holiday season this year. Emma Stone is in the cast, and the big doggie will be Amanda Seyfried’s fourth release in 18 months.
Yesterday’s other IPO I took a shot on was The Concert, a period piece from The Weinsteins this summer. I liked the plot line, and if director / screenwriter Radu Mihaileanu executes well, the film has all the makings of a breakout drama. (Important tangent: how cool is it movie geeks to learn that the Weinstein brothers are close to a deal to buy back Miramax? I think it’s awesome).
After some housekeeping–a perfect $10K on the questions, thankyouverymuch–it’s off to look at my short options. John Carpenter and Nicolas Cage doing Scared Straight still isn’t out of development and continues tanking. The film is down nearly 70% this year. A Kenny Chesney concert film that should have moved straight to 3D moved down low enough to pay its fees and a little more. With a release date this week, it’s time to dump that puppy. Newly released other film that should’ve gone to DVD, or even VHS, is something with Joan Rivers. I shorted it on principle, that was the right call, and now I’m out of it. There is no reason to stick around until mid-June to pick up another $40K or so.
Iron Man 2, which Sue may not see since Robert Downey Jr’s body is encased in a suit, came really close to pushing through the $400 barrier before dropping a little yesterday. The film opens May 7. There’s not much point in continuing to hold a long position for two weeks. The IPO, which came hot on the heels of the first movie’s success, was price around $100 but still paid handsomely for anyone who held it. Iron Man 2 is likely the most anticipated sequel of 2010, and in some quarters, the most anticipated release. And since we’re telling the truth here, I didn’t care very much for the first one.
The more interesting slide in my opinion is Russell Crowe’s Robin Hood. I’ve had doubts about this one for months, even if it is screening at Cannes. HSXers dumped it nearly 4% yesterday on the heels of a trailer. I love the cast, I love Ridley Scott, I love the story, but I’m not sure why Universal doesn’t cede the first two weekends to Iron Man 2.
Crowe and Robin Hood lead me to think of Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves. My short thoughts on that film: I liked the mysticism, Morgan Freeman played one of his best roles, American audiences came to love Alan Rickman and Costner was tolerable. Plus my wife and I fell for the theme song and considered it our for a while. Since Field of Dreams remains my go-to movie, I have a hard time not liking Costner.
That said, he scares me when he directs himself. Don’t tell me about history. Dances with Wolves was 20 years ago. And Costner gave himself far too much screen time in that film too. Playing a 55 year old action sheriff in a World War II setting? I’m not loving this idea.
But do you remember Kevin Reynolds and Fandango? Kevin Costner does. Reynolds cast Costner in Fandango 25 years ago, even before American Flyers. Since then, they’ve drowned in Waterworld together and had a smash with Robin Hood. Reynolds likes Costner on screen too much, but not as much as Costner likes Costner on screen. Their fourth film together is Learning Italian, sort of The Bucket List for undercover spies. If Reynolds brings out Costner’s light comedy, Learning Italian can hit. I like it as a $15 long position.
Among the IPOs that I’m picking up today are a $35 million call on the Nightmare on Elm Street reboot. Jackie Earl Haley’s return, yes even with Human Target on his resume, is nearly complete. The StarBonds fund also just cashed out at $1 million and is back for another launch. At $200K in the door, you just buy these things and let mrbinns quadruple your money in a few months. It’s really not hard.
So that’s today. Meanwhile Ridley and Russell get to open Cannes with Robin Hood. What do you think after seeing the trailer?
Howard, Eastman Bring Hoover To Life – HSX Today
April 19, 2010
Nice pickups over the weekend on the Saturday IPO and the various games. My 90 day chart is almost re-populated since the February reset, but more importantly shows a steep increase.
Deal With The Devil continues to be a dog of a stock I’m glad I shorted. Out of Lionsgate, there is no one attached to the stock now and it’s floating around at just over $3, down from a 52 week high of nearly triple that. This is one of the rare stocks that don’t reflect the HSX community’s fixation with comic stocks because this is an adaptation of a Mark Miller book. If you haven’t done so yet, it looks like a fine short at $3.44
Appealing to a younger demographic, but sliding just as fast is the Goosebumps adaptation that no one seems to know what to do with. I’m reminded of when studios were desperate to make a Mario Brothers film. Bob Hoskins surely would like us all to forget that particular movie. Goosebumps is down again–nearly a dollar this month and $2 for the season. At a much higher price of $7.02, it’s a fine option to short.
Concepts, my favorite category to short, continue sliding as well. While I would love to see Anthony Hopkins in King Lear, no one has the project despite a trio of beauties in Naomi Watts, Gwyneth Paltrow and Keira Knightley. Shakespeare is usually a tough sell in modern box office. This cast would make the film much more interesting, but no less accessible, which is why it’s now down to $4.35.
And finally in the shorts section, Wolfgang Petersen has Sony backing a scifi thriller called The Uprising. I’ve been shorting this one forever, and it’s under $6 now after a nice long stay in double digits.
Today’s exciting IPO (I think we can ignore the Attica reboot) is Hoover, a biopic of everyone’s favorite transvestite lawman. Brian Grazer and Ron Howard, with more than a few “based on a true story” hits have the screenwriter responsible for Milk on the script. Now get this: Clint Eastwood is directing Leonard DiCaprio. Interested yet? Swap out Leo for Matt Damon and it wins 3 Oscars instead of being nominated for them, but if this puppy gets made, we’ve got a must-see film the month it is released.
Knight and Day Trailer Release Sparks Interest – HSX Today
April 17, 2010
Nice start to the day. Up big on the portfolio and a perfect score through the questions. That’s Mercedes Reuhl, not Robin Williams, who won an Oscar for The Fisher King.
Yesterday’s IPOs were Farris-centric. Anna’s Private Benjamin remake soared more than 11% and her romantic comedy, What’s Your Number?, went up 5%. Chris Evans’ legal thriller Puncture took a beating, but I’m staying long with the stock until I see some more definitive news.
I’m still happy with my short positions. Something called The Courier with Jeffrey Dean Morgan has been floating around for years and continues to slide down. It’s now under $7 and worth a slide down to pick up a solid $200K plus. The Witchblade remake, with still no cast or director attached, is in the same boat, but at $4.77, the upside isn’t as large.
The new trailer for Knight and Day seems to be stirring the most interest. Male star Tom Cruise has a lot to prove after a misstep with Valkyrie. Costar Cameron Diaz has a lot to prove after The Box flopped, showing an unsuccessful attempt to break from the Shrek and Charlies Angels franchises. And director James Mangold is a long way from being the indie darling who won Sundance and then directed Kate and Leopold. He did an adequate job in 3:10 to Yuma, but observers expecting a stronger followup to Walk The Line were undoubtedly disappointed. We’re showing the trailer below.
What do you think? Does this have summer blockbuster written on it or is Knight and Day destined to be another True Lies? Can Tom Cruise pull on this side of 50 pull off one more action flick or is he liable to limp through them like a latter-day Harrison Ford?
For those of you following the IPOs, Anne Hathaway is up in One Day with Jim Sturgess. The plot, a direct lift seemingly without credit, is straight from Alan Alda’s Same Time Next Year. I’ll go long because of Hathaway’s track record, but I’m going to pass on Sturgess starring with Colin Firth in a period piece about Palestine set just after World War II ends.
So how is Knight and Day looking now?
Can Chris Evans Carry A Movie?
April 16, 2010
Started off slowly today. Who could have imagined that A Walk to Remember outgrossed Crocodile Dundee in Los Angeles? Neither was worth a lot of box office money, but Walk did $16 million more domestic box office. Oh, Paul Hogan, you rode that horse one time too many.
Even yesterday’s picks were flat. HSXers agreed with Sue and showed no love to Katherine Heigl and her two IPOs. One for the Money remained flat while Blended actually dropped 10%. I dropped Blended with the crowd. The $20 million call on The Losers turned out to be nice even though it’s a call and almost no money. Traders drove the call up 26% to $2.52. You want box office intelligence? Movie geeks are digging the trailer for The Losers.
I dumped out of my American Idol options, but can’t understand why Crystal Bowersox’s numbers dropped this week when she is widely considered a finalist. She may not be the presumptive winner (look where that got Adam Lambert last year), but I can’t find an Idol-watcher who thinks she will be cut before the finals. But as we said yesterday, the upside isn’t big enough to hold on to her option or Siobhan Magnus’ at $16 so they’re both gone.
In shorts, The Host is a remake by Universal of a South Korean horror flick and dropping hard. Still at $6.77 and down by nearly half in 12 months, there is plenty of time to jump 0n this one and make a little cash while shorting a film with no named director or cast. One option that started climbing (up 65 cents — that’s big stuff for an option) is yet another remake of The Man from U*N*C*L*E. The option is moving because a screenwriter has been picked. I’m sticking with my short position because I don’t think the screenwriter is any good, and this film never does well in any adaptation.
Remember when we told you this week that there would be comics fatigue? Rest assured that there are at least five comic-themed films coming in the next 18 months. But traders yesterday started giving back gains on sequels in the Iron Man, Batman and X-Men franchises.
Remake horror continues with Anna Farris attached to a remake of Private Benjamin slated for 2011. Go back and look at the Goldie Hawn-led cast for the 30 year old original. Albert Brooks, Harry Dean Stanton, Eileen Brennan (who is now 78–wow!), Mary Kay Place and a bunch of other folks, including Armand Assante who had such a big role that I have to mention his name. Do you think it’s funny that Stanton and Mary Kay Place were at the head of the Juniper Creek polygamist compound in Big Love? Yeah, me too.
Farris joins Chris Evans, Andy Samberg and Spock (sorry, Zach Quinto, but if Nimoy got typecast, we must do the same to you) in What’s Your Number? Anna apparently does the gender reverse of scrolling through a little black book for a potential spouse. I would pass except that exteriors are being shot in Boston in a few weeks according to the HSX community, who can track down any lead anywhere.
Evans will be coming off Puncture, a legal drama in the world of Big Medicine. Chris’ character complicate things with a drug problem of his own. His Fantastic Four street cred may be dwindling, but this guy is working in a dozen projects if you believe every rumor. Let’s see how he does with The Losers later this month before we anoint him, right Jeremy Piven?
Chris Evans photo by gdcgraphics via cc
Stephanie Plum Movie Coming – HSX Today
April 15, 2010
The vagaries of HSX rank. Up a lot yesterday, but down in rank. Up only a little today and shoot forward 29 spots. It’s enough to make a movie fan think they’re at Cloverfield Part 8. But I whipped through the questions for $18K and knocked down the $50K sweepstakes for a little boost. At least it will cover the commissions.
On yesterday’s action, HSX fandom seems to like the notion of Uwe Boll directing Darfur. Whether they like his B-movies or the notion of a film doing for Darfur what Hotel Rwanda did far too late for that country remains to be seen. The Toby Kebbell IPO also went big, driving up $1 (3%) on its first day of trading.
The American Idol warrants are frozen until tonight’s results show at 9 p.m. eastern, but with presumptive finalist Crystal Bowersox at just over $20 now with a cap at $24 for the winner, there’s really not much upside to holding on to any of these tomorrow. And remember, tonight 2 of the 9 finalists are axed so the competition for that little bit of extra money probably isn’t worth the gamble. With only 10,000 units available, Bowersox’s upside is just under $40K. You get that much for answering questions in two or three days.
My traditional puts are doing well. I had been worried about shorting Venom, but the stock started crumbling today. The Goosebumps movie in development continued its slide and ended just above 7.25 and has now lost half its value over the last year. Another development project, Djimon Hounsou starring as Conan character Thulsa Doom, is also almost of any space. The stock is down more than $5 from a $7 high over the last year. I’m glad I’m shorted Thulsa, and I’m totally clear of this 0ne now.
Speaking of mythical stuff, let’s get today’s big news out of the way. The Whedonverse almost exploded into the mainstream when Joss BuffyAngelFireflyDolhouse was tabbed to direct yet another remake of The Avengers. The cast is insane: RDJ (which means Sue will actually watch the movie first-run), Samuel L. Jackson, Don Cheadle, Scarlett Johansson and all the others. Word is that Edward Norton could reprise his role as The Hulk. The Avengers shot up 9% to well over $200, carrying Iron Man 3 and the entire genre on its back.
Just remember this from a fellow Joss fan: he doesn’t exactly work well with A-list talent. NPH still isn’t quite there, sorry. And when you keep going back to Elisha Dushku and Adam Baldwin, you’re not in the Scarlett-Cheadle-Downey camp yet. Jackson, Cheadle and Downey have 5 Oscar nominations between them. Scarlett has 4 Golden Globe nominations. Elisha fills out a tank top nicely and Baldwin has nice comic timing that he has honed on Chuck. Just remember that Joss was supposed to bring Superman and Wonder Woman to life. The Avengers will be released, and Hollywood’s script doctor, has another shot at a big budget.
Now that the entire Buffyverse hates me, check out Katherine Heigl coming to One for the Money, the first Stephanie Plum novel by Janet Evanovich. In June 2006, Evanovich told Book Help Web (our sister site) that TriStar owned the rights to the Plum series. The author accused TriStar of being “clueless” about how to bring Stephanie Plum to film.
Nope.
Go long. Evanovich is money. The movie may be horrible, but the first one will sell.
Heigl is also attached to a rom-com onboard a cruise ship. Eh. I don’t know if she’s got the overt comedy chops to make it successful, but it’s worth the $20 IPO. Finally there are opening weekend options for The Losers at $20 million and The Back-Up Plan at $10 million. I like the buzz Warner Brothers generated with the trailer below. Give it a shot at $20 million. The country needs some goofball slapstick.

